Week 4 of college football season is here.
The Southeastern Conference is back in action. There are three ranked team matchups this week including No. 23 Kentucky at No. 8 Auburn, No. 24 Louisville at No. 21 Pitt, and No. 22 Army at No. 14 Cincinnati. # 12 Miami, which was a favorite early on in the season, is resuming its rivalry with the state of Florida.
MORE: Week 4 bowl projections
After three weeks of fighting the spread, it’s time to get back on track.
Last week: 7-2 S / U, 2-5 ATS
All in all: 21-7 S / U, 8-13 ATS
Top 25: 11-2 S / U, 3-9 ATS
Here’s a look at our pick against the spread for week 4:
Week 4 picks against the spread
Kansas State at No. 3 Oklahoma (-27)
Big favorites, the Sooners are looking for revenge after losing to the Wildcats in a 48:41 shootout last season. The Wildcats are huge underdogs after losing to Arkansas State. Kansas State was 3-1 ATS as a street dog last season.
Oklahoma wins 42-17 NOT COVER the dissemination.
No. 5 Florida (-14.5) at Ole Miss
Lane Kiffin makes his debut with the Rebels, but they are up against a strong team from Florida. The Gators have been 7-1 ATS for the last two seasons, but that half point is hard to miss.
Florida wins 30-17 NOT COVER the dissemination.
No. 23 Kentucky at No. 8 Auburn (-8)
This is the only game between ranked SEC teams this week, and it’s a chance for the Wildcats to prove they are in the top 25. That should get tight into the fourth quarter and depend on Terry Wilson’s ability to keep up with Bo Nix in the league passing game.
Auburn wins 27-20 though NOT COVER the dissemination.
No. 13 UCF (-25.5) in East Carolina
The Knights’ offensive didn’t miss a beat, ending a week when it rolled a total of 660 yards against Georgia Tech. Look for Dillon Gabriel to keep this offense against the no-game pirates in full swing.
UCF wins 48-14 and COVERS the dissemination.
# 24 Louisville at # 21 Pitt (-3.5)
It depends on how the Cardinals recover from a 47:34 loss to Miami. These teams haven’t played since 2015. The Panthers have an even offensive around Kenny Pickett and have won five of the last six in the series. We’re still nervous about this choice.
Pitt wins 28-27 though NOT COVER the dissemination.
Georgia Southern at No. 19 Louisiana (-13.5)
Louisiana didn’t cover itself against the state of Georgia, which was squeaked by Campbell with a shorthanded squad on September 12th. Look for the ragin ‘cajuns to bounce back at home.
Louisiana wins 34-20 and COVERS the dissemination.
Mississippi State at No. 6 LSU (-17)
The defending National Champion has lost a lot from last year’s roster and faces Mike Leach on his Bulldog debut. Mississippi State won’t win, but obscurity on both sides will result in cover.
LSU wins 30-14 and NOT COVER the dissemination.
No. 8 Texas (-17) at Texas Tech
The Red Raiders have had multiple positive COVID-19 tests since spring and there is little continuity in defense. Even on the street, Texas blows it up wide.
Texas wins 45-20 and COVERS the dissemination.
West Virginia at No. 15 Oklahoma State (-8.5)
Spencer Sanders sustained a leg injury on a lackluster start for Oklahoma State, and the Mountaineers look a lot better in Neal Brown’s second season. The Cowboys have won the last five meetings, but the last two have been close.
Oklahoma State wins 30-24 though NOT COVER the dissemination.
Army No. 22 in Cincinnati No. 14 (-12)
The army prevailed 79: 7 against their first two opponents and now faces a tough Cincinnati defense. Luke Fickell has been 1-1 with Navy since taking over the Bearcats, and the Army should be able to hang around long enough with a few sustained drives.
Cincinnati wins 27-17 though NOT COVER the dissemination.
No. 4 Georgia (-24.5) in Arkansas
Sam Pittman makes his Arkansas debut, but it’s not easy against a top five team that will introduce new quarterbacks in D’Wan Mathis and JT Daniels. Georgia’s defense will be the difference in a blowout.
Georgia wins 38-10 and COVERS the dissemination.
No. 2 Alabama (-28.5) Missouri
Is Alabama’s defense better this season? That will be the question against a Missouri team that Eli Drinkwitz will debut for. The line is tough because the Crimson Tide have won their last three games with an average of 30 points per game. That is exactly right.
Alabama wins 45-14 and COVERS the dissemination.
Vanderbilt at No. 10 Texas A&M (-29.5)
Vanderbilt has two new coordinators in a full year of pressure for Derek Mason, and it’s tough getting on the road against a talented Texas A&M team. That is still too many points. The Commodores lost by more than 28 once in the past season.
Texas A&M wins 41-14 and NOT COVER the dissemination.
No. 16 Tennessee (-3) in South Carolina
Tennessee is getting a lot of hype this off-season, but there’s more pressure on the Gamecocks and Will Muschamp. Colorado State Transfer Collin Hill is an interesting player for South Carolina, but the Vols have more continuity on either side.
Tennessee wins 28-20 and COVERS the dissemination.
Florida State at No. 12 Miami (-10)
We took down the spread twice with Miami and we lost. Now we’ll see if the Hurricanes can handle the hype against a Florida state team that doesn’t have a head coach. The hurricanes have won the last three meetings.
Miami wins 31-19 and COVERS the dissemination.
N. C. State at No. 20 Virginia Tech (-10)
Both teams have been affected by COVID-19 outbreaks, and this is the long-awaited conference debut for either team. Expect it to be ugly in the first half and close in the second half.
Virginia Tech wins 24-17 though NOT COVER the dissemination.
Troy at No. 18 BYU (-13.5)
The line with the Cougars dealing with COVID-19 issues has dipped and Troy rolled 240 meters up at the season opener. We still like what BYU’s offense showed in the opener and are looking for more of Zach Wilson.
BYU wins 35-20 and COVERS the dissemination.